Chaos Labs - Risk Parameter Recommendations for Isolated Markets

Summary

Chaos Labs has completed a comprehensive analysis aimed at providing informed recommendations for the launch parameters for assets proposed for listing in the Isolated Lending markets. These are conservative recommendations aimed to ensure a safe and efficient introduction of these assets into the Venus protocol and are the basis for future optimization following the launch and after observing usage on each pool.

Pools:

  1. LIQUID STAKED BNB - WBNB, BNBx, stkBNB, ankrBNB
  2. TRON FAMILY - BTT, WIN, TRX, USDT, USDD
  3. DEFI - ANKR, BSW, ALPACA, ankrBNB, USDT, USDD
  4. GAMEFI - FLOKI, RACA, USDT, USDD
  5. STABLECOIN - HAY, USDT, USDD

Notes:

  1. DEFI pool - Given the higher risk profile of ALPACA and BIFI, we propose separating them into distinct pools, which could allow us more granularity in parameter setting. Additionally, this could enable more capital-efficient parameters for the other assets, such as ANKR and BSW.
  2. LIQUID STAKED BNB pool - we recommend launching the pool without the stablecoins (USDT and USDD), which will enable increasing LTs and allow more leverage for looping.

Methodology

Liquidation Threshold

Volatile Assets

To determine the liquidation threshold (LT) settings, we examine the historical price volatility of assets, including 30-day annualized volatilities and the biggest single-day price drop.

LST

For LSTs, we analyze their historical price volatility in relation to the underlying asset.

Stables

We set relatively conservative stablecoin LT to reflect the volatility of the borrowed assets in the isolated pools.

Collateral Factor

  • LSTs, we recommend implementing a 3% buffer between the CF and LT
  • Stablecoins - we recommend implementing a 5% buffer between the CF and LT
  • Volatile Assets - we recommend implementing a 10% buffer between the CF and LT

Supply and Borrow Cap

Supply Cap

Applying Chaos Labs’ approach to setting initial supply caps for new assets, we propose setting the supply cap at 2X the on-chain liquidity available under the Liquidation Incentive (configured to 10%) price impact. Additionally, for the launch, we advise setting a restriction such that the supply cap does not exceed 25% of the total circulating on-chain supply for each asset.

Borrow Cap

  • We set the borrowing cap for the volatile assets to (IR curve kink)*(SupplyCap). This is set to allow sufficient liquidity for redemption in case of full supply and borrow caps utilization.
  • For LSTs - as the use case for borrowing LST is unclear, we recommend an initial borrow cap of 10% of the supply cap and will adjust according to the borrowing demand and market conditions.

USDT and USDD Borrow Caps

  • The USDT and USDD borrow caps were set with the intention to function effectively as a “debt ceiling,” creating an upper bound on the stable borrow against the volatile assets in each pool. The initial recommendations are calculated as sum(assetSupplyCap*LT)*2. This total is divided into 80% USDT and 20% USDD.
  • The USDT and USDD supply caps are set as 1.5*BorrowCap

IR Curves

We recommend the following setting for the isolated markets, which may be adjusted after analyzing the usage of the assets post-launch.

Volatile Assets + HAY

  • Base - 0.02
  • Kink - 0.5
  • Multiplier - 0.2
  • Jump Multiplier - 3
  • Reserve factor- 0.25

Stablecoins (USDD and USDT) and WBNB

  • Base - 0.02
  • Kink - 0.8 (USDT+WBNB), 0.7 (USDD)
  • Multiplier - 0.1
  • Jump Multiplier - 2.5
  • Reserve factor- 0.1

Recommendations

LIQUID STAKED BNB

Asset Collateral Factor Liquidation Threshold Supply Cap Borrow Cap Base Kink Multiplier Jump Multiplier Reserve Factor
WBNB 77% 80% 24,000 16,000 0.01 0.8 0.035 3 0.25
BNBx 87% 90% 9,600 960 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
stkBNB 87% 90% 2,900 290 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
ankrBNB 87% 90% 8,000 800 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25

STABLECOINS

Asset Collateral Factor Liquidation Threshold Supply Cap Borrow Cap Base Kink Multiplier Jump Multiplier Reserve Factor
HAY 75% 80% 500,000 250,000 0.02 0.5 0.1 2.5 0.1
USDT 75% 80% 960,000 640,000 0.02 0.8 0.1 2.5 0.1
USDD 75% 80% 240,000 160,000 0.02 0.7 0.1 2.5 0.1

DEFI

Asset Collateral Factor Liquidation Threshold Supply Cap Borrow Cap Base Kink Multiplier Jump Multiplier Reserve Factor
ANKR 20% 30% 17,700,000 8,850,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
BSW 20% 30% 11,600,000 5,800,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
ALPACA 20% 30% 1,500,000 750,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
ankrBNB 0 0% 5,000 4,000 0.035 0.8 0.1 3 0.25
USDT 75% 80% 1,387,000 925,000 0.02 0.8 0.1 2.5 0.1
USDD 65% 70% 450,000 300,000 0.02 0.7 0.1 2.5 0.1

GAMEFI

Asset Collateral Factor Liquidation Threshold Supply Cap Borrow Cap Base Kink Multiplier Jump Multiplier Reserve Factor
FLOKI 40% 50% 22,000,000,000 11,000,000,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
RACA 40% 50% 4,200,000,000 2,100,000,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
USDT 75% 80% 1,200,000 800,000 0.02 0.8 0.1 2.5 0.1
USDD 65% 70% 450,000 300,000 0.02 0.7 0.1 2.5 0.1

TRON FAMILY

Asset Collateral Factor Liquidation Threshold Supply Cap Borrow Cap Base Kink Multiplier Jump Multiplier Reserve Factor
BTT 40% 50% 1,130,000,000,000 565,000,000,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
WIN 40% 50% 2,300,000,000 1,150,000,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
TRX 40% 50% 6,300,000 3,150,000 0.02 0.5 0.2 3 0.25
USDT 75% 80% 1,380,000 920,000 0.02 0.8 0.1 2.5 0.1
USDD 65% 70% 1,950,000 1,300,000 0.02 0.7 0.1 2.5 0.1
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After integrating feedback and additional insights from community stakeholders and partners, we’ve refined our initial recommendations:

  1. Increased the supply caps across most assets to account for bootstrap liquidity targeted in each pool.
  2. For the LST pool, we recommend increased Collateral Factors and Liquidation Thresholds to facilitate 10X leverage when borrowing WBNB against the various LSTs.
  3. We updated the limit on the LST supply cap, setting it at 25% of the total on-chain circulating supply, which consequently increases supply caps for BNBx and stkBNB.
  4. Increased supply caps for stablecoins to 1.5X of the borrow cap.
  5. We’ve refined the interest rate curve for WBNB in the LST pool by lowering the Multiplier to 0.035. This alteration is designed to facilitate a borrow rate that’s below the staking rewards at the Kink, to incentivize the utilization of the pool. Post-launch, these parameters will undergo evaluation and necessary adjustments will be made where needed.
  6. ankrBNB has been added to the DeFi pool as a non-collateral asset while Bifi was removed.
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