Allez Labs - Risk Parameter Updates - 2026-06-23

Summary

We recommend reducing collateral factors (CF) across three asset groups in the Venus BNB Core Pool: volatile assets, LSTs, and stablecoins.

Context. Several Core Pool assets are less liquid or more volatile than current CFs support. Liquidation thresholds will remain unchanged, so no existing position is liquidated due to this change.

Recommendations

Asset Group CF: Current → Rec Note
asBNB LST recalibration 72% → 60% Low liquidity
slisBNB LST recalibration 80% → 72% Reducing to sub-BNB CF
wBETH LST recalibration 80% → 60% Low liquidity
XRP Volatile Asset 65% → 50% Calibrated to EVT 5yr 2h
SOL Volatile Asset 72% → 65% Calibrated to EVT 5yr 2h + liquidity on chain
USDe Stable 75% → 50% Minimal BSC DEX depth
FDUSD Stable 75% → 50% Minimal BSC DEX depth
PT-sUSDE Stable 70% → 0% Expired token (matured Jun 2025)

Volatile Assets

CF has been sized to appropriately capture increased volatility and tightened liquidity of several tokens across several metrics including the 2h-window EVT drawdown estimate (CF set to the 5yr 2h return level).

EVT 5-Year Return Levels (2h Window)

Asset Current CF Rec CF Buffer EVT 5yr 2h Margin Oracle 2h Max
XRP 65% 50% 40% 39.5% +0.5pp 18.6%
SOL 72% 65% 25% 25.8% -0.8pp 9.4%

Buffer = 100% − recommended CF − 10% liquidation incentive: the price drop a max-leveraged position absorbs before liquidation proceeds no longer cover debt plus bonus.


LST Recalibrations

Each LST below inherits its underlying’s market risk plus issuer, slashing, and redemption-delay risk, and trades with thinner DEX liquidity than the underlying. An LST’s CF must therefore sit strictly below its underlying’s. At present, slisBNB and wBETH both sit at 80%, tied with BNB and ETH respectively.

Each of these assets has a very different liquidity profile, with some issuers supporting deep liquidity on chain. Slippage selling each LST into USDT across BSC DEXes, PMMs, and limit-order books:

Staked Token Exit Slippage on BNB DEXs. Selling each LST into USDT across BSC DEXes, PMMs, and limit-order books, with CEX backstop noted per asset. Color saturates at 10% slippage: green = deep liquidity, red = effectively stuck. asBNB and wBETH are red at size; slisBNB and xSolvBTC stay green.

asBNB has about $30K of DEX liquidity against $87M of supply while wBETH has about $122K on-chain plus a ~$1.8M Binance backstop against $23M. Native redemption is too slow to backstop liquidations, as asBNB redeems to slisBNB only over a 3 to 5 day window depending on launchpool state. Other LST issuer redemptions (7 to 15 days) are similarly too slow to keep pace with price-driven liquidations. slisBNB and xSolvBTC liquidity are materially more robust than comparative derivative tokens.

First-round liquidations triggered under a basket-aware shock, where BNB, ETH, and BTC family debt moves with the correlated collateral:

Asset -10% -20% -30%
asBNB $0 / 0 wallets $251K / 11 $620K / 28
wBETH $4.48M / 6 $4.52M / 15 $4.54M / 23
slisBNB $0 / 0 $0 / 0 $1.1K / 2
xSolvBTC $1.8K / 1 $2.7K / 2 $4.6K / 4

wBETH has weak DEX liquidity: a 10% price drop may force $4.5M of liquidations into a market that absorbs ~$122K (not accounting for Binance markets) before material slippage while asBNB has room for about $600K of single sided sell pressure before such slippage.

Asset Liquidity Current CF Rec CF Rationale
asBNB Thin 72% 60% $30K exit vs $87M supply; halt new stablecoin borrows
wBETH Thin 80% 60% $4.5M liquidation pressure at -10%; also fixes the ETH tie
slisBNB Deep 80% 72% Recalibrate below BNB; deep liquidity supports borrows
xSolvBTC Deep 72% 72% Deep on-chain; >99% of collateral use already in BTC eMode

The lower 60% CF on asBNB and wBETH will stop new high-leverage stablecoin borrowing, without forcing existing users out. slisBNB and xSolvBTC are deep enough to support liquidations, so they move to / remain at an enhanced LST CF.

Stablecoins

While stablecoins are the dominant borrow asset class on Venus BNB (>$179M in outstanding borrows), the protocol also has material exposure to stables as collateral. We recommend reducing the borrow power of several less liquid stablecoins to a CF of 50% (FDUSD and USDe) while removing collateral eligibility for the expired PT-sUSDE.

Despite the CF changes, all Venus use-cases are preserved. Depositors for impacted stablecoins will continue to earn supply yield, while users wishing to borrow against stable assets can do so via a smaller collection of stables, which carry deep DEX liquidity to support liquidations at scale. The change redirects collateral use toward assets the protocol can safely liquidate, while continuing support for a broad range of stables as borrowable assets. The below tables show the DEX liquidity across stablecoins.

DEX liquidity across stables (price impact at trade size):

Token $100K $500K $1M $2.5M $5M Max size <1%
USDC <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% >$5M
USDT <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% >$5M
U <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% 1.00% >$5M
FDUSD <0.05% 65.52% 82.41% 93.59% 96.78% $100K
USDe 70.21% 94.04% 97.01% 98.80% 99.40% <$100K
USD1 <0.05% <0.05% 0.10% 1.10% - ~$1M
lisUSD <0.05% <0.05% <0.05% 0.18% - ~$2.5M

Recommended CFs:

Token CF: Current → Rec Debt Impacted Rationale
USDe 75% → 50% $11K Thin DEX depth; 70% price impact at $100K
FDUSD 75% → 50% $5M DEX depth exhausted above ~$100K
PT-sUSDE 70% → 0% ~$0 Expired token, matured June 2025

Allez Labs has not been compensated by any third party for publishing this recommendation.

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