Chaos Labs - Risk Parameter Updates - 09/20/24

Summary

Chaos Labs recommends increasing WETH’s collateral factor to 90%, adjusting incentives, and adjusting the multiplier in the Venus Liquid Staked ETH Pool.

Motivation

Following the recent Venus Liquid staked ETH Pool update, which set the WETH Collateral Factor to 0% to prevent new WETH-WETH looping, some users needed additional funds to close their previously looped positions, as they were not able to take any action that increased their leverage. Because these users may not be technically equipped to use flash loans to close their positions, finding a solution that allows them to repay borrowed WETH is critical.

The aforementioned pool has seen limited growth in the last three months. In a previous parameter update, we recommended setting the CF of WETH to 0% — alongside other changes — to optimize the pool.

WETH’s borrow rate is the most critical metric to grow this pool; keeping it below the ETH staking yield rate makes leveraged yield farming strategies profitable. Currently, there is a significant amount of WETH borrow liquidity being utilized by WETH suppliers — looping the asset with itself.

The following users are utilizing the looping strategy:

User address Collateral Borrow Health Score Borrowable WETH at 90% CF required to reduce the position
Chaos Labs 21.18M 14.86M 1.32 19.062 70%
Chaos Labs 4.02M 3M 1.24 3.618 74%
Chaos Labs 2.3M 2.06M 1.03 2.07 89.5%
Chaos Labs 1.38M 934.52K 1.3 1.242 67.7%
Chaos Labs 1.01M 875.11K 1.07 0.909 86.6%
Chaos Labs 1.06M 847.88K 1.16 0.954 80%

We note that the previous recommendation has already improved the pool, with four of the largest users using the pool for leveraged yield farming rather than WETH-WETH looping.

To allow WETH-WETH loopers an opportunity to repay their positions, we propose a multi-tranche reduction of CF following a temporary increase to its previous level of 90%. We plan to implement a new tranche every two weeks, though this is subject to market conditions and progress in the pool.

This will be paired with an adjustment of incentives and WETH’s multiplier. We recommend diverting WETH borrow incentives and instead allocating them to WETH supply and wstETH supply; the former will ensure supplying is lucrative while the latter should help grow wstETH supply on Venus, which has lagged relative to its market cap. This, coupled with the multiplier reduction — targeting 2.7% at the Kink — should ensure that leveraged farming strategies are profitable, as is supplying WETH without looping the asset with itself.

Incentives

The Liquid Staked ETH pool incentives received an adjustment through Venus Governance’s recently passed proposal VIP-367.

The changes are the following:

  • WETH. From 16,500 XVS/month to 12,375 XVS/month (-25%)
  • wstETH. From 1,800 XVS/month to 0 XVS/month (-100%)
  • sfrxETH. From 400 XVS/month to 0 XVS/month (-100%)

To adjust for these changes in the original rewards, we propose a new incentive distribution based on the previously stated objective to reduce the WETH-WETH looping APY while sustaining an attractive APY for LST-WETH looping.

To achieve the objective, we track the top WETH-WETH and LST-WETH loopers to simulate their effective APY after the incentives change.

Our simulation shows that the top 3 WETH-WETH Loopers would still enjoy an above-market average APR after implementing the Market Emission Adjustment.


Left: List of pools, their corresponding XVS incentives, USD value of the incentives and resulting supply APY
Right: List of WETH-WETH Loopers (above) and LST-WETH Loopers (below), their net deposit value and their effective APR

Through the new incentive structure proposed, the WETH-WETH loopers would enjoy a below-market rate but still positive APR, which allows them to gradually exit their positions without causing a severe impact on the market.

By shifting the incentives allocation from WETH Borrow to LST supply, we can maintain an attractive APR for the major LST-WETH loopers.

Recommendation

WETH - Ethereum Liquid Staked Pool

Current Value 1st Tranche 2nd Tranche 3rd Tranche Final Tranche
Collateral Factor 0% 90% 75% 50% 0.0%
Multiplier 4.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Current Value (XVS/day) Recommended Value (XVS/day)
WETH Supply 123.75 162.5
WETH Borrow 288.75 0
wstETH Supply 0 100
PT-weETH Supply 0 20
ezETH Supply 0 0
weETH Supply 0 120
rsETH Supply 0 0
sfrxETH Supply 0 10
weETHs 0 0
3 Likes

Hi, multiplier will drop from 4.5% to 3.0% here, just want to know what multiplier means here and what affect it will have on WETH by this drop?

Multiplier together with Kink determines the Interest Rate curve.
The change in multiplier for WETH in this case ensures that at 90% utilization the cost to borrow WETH will be 2.7%.
This ensures that borrowing ETH will cost a bit less than the Ethereum Staking Rate, hence making leveraging LSTs profitable

Clear, thanks for the explanation.

Thank you for sharing this proposal!

Both the CF restoration and the interest rate curve adjustments are necessary to allow users to unwind their ETH-ETH looping positions and create optimal market conditions for LST and LRT looping.

However, maintaining the current emissions structure is recommended. ETH-ETH looping does not pose a security threat to the protocol and can be considered a natural market behavior, especially for Prime users taking advantage of their boosted APY.

Adjusting the rate curve should be sufficient to optimize market conditions without the need for further changes to the emissions.

1 Like

In order to maintain and increase the demand for Venus Prime, I think it would be better to maintain the Prime Boost APY for WETH Borrow as well.
I think that would promote WETH Borrow and the LST-ETH loop.

We accept this suggestion and agree to maintain the current emissions structure.

1 Like

Hello,

Thank you very much for the proposal.

I think maintaining 90% CF for looping eth-eth user with prime is fine.

I believe that we should bring the most capitalized LST token directly to Core Pool.

Would be best to concentrate liquidity of eth in one pool with stablecoin and other coin.

Isolated pool for LST Looper is not the best solution. We should pick the risk

How long is first tranche going to be? Approximately